E-Commerce Still No. 1 Outlet in $12.8B Vitamin Category: TABS 11/22/2016
The online retail channel is the top outlet for sales of vitamin and mineral and supplements (VMS), hitting $2 billion and surpassing Walmart’s vitamin sales of $1.7 billion in 2016, according to the 2016 TABS Analytics Vitamin and Minerals Supplements study. Vitamin specialty, which includes Vitamin Shoppe and GNC, ($1.5 billion); Costco ($1.3 billion); and CVS ($1.2 billion) round out the next three largest outlets for annual VMS sales. TABS found that VMS sales were up three percent compared to 2015 and were being driven primarily by increases in pricing. TABS Analytics estimates the annual U.S. VMS retail market to be $12.8 billion.
The survey revealed that online brick and mortar domains lost a significant amount of share to pure play domains. However, four online brick and mortar domains posted gains in share over 1 percent including Vitamin Shoppe (+2.5 percent), Target (+2.5 percent), GNC (+2.4 percent), and Costco (+1.2 percent). In all, there were seven online domains that dropped in share compared to 2015: Drugstore.com (-6.4 percent), Walmart (-2.8 percent), CVS (-1.8 percent), EBay (-1.8 percent), Amazon (-1.6 percent), Vitamin World (-1.5 percent), and Walgreens (-1.1 percent), according to TABS.
Decrease in Heavy Buyers Ominous for Category
A key trend that TABS VMS studies have uncovered is that beginning in 2012, there has been a decline in the number of heavy buyers (those who purchased more than three types of vitamins in a year) and this continued into 2016. Heavy buyer penetration peaked at 40 percent in 2012. But in 2016, heavy buyer penetration dropped to 30 percent. This large drop in heavy buyers occurred in the mass market channels, which has caused mass market penetration to decline for the past two years.
Specialty stores and online stores have held onto their heavy buyer base and also gained light buyers. This is the first time since 2010 that TABS has tracked a shift in the Vitamin market away from mass market and towards Specialty Brick & Mortar. However, mass market is still the most-shopped channel with 65 percent of buyers shopping in it exclusively, while only 14 percent of all buyers shop exclusively at non-mass channels (online or in specialty stores). The study found that 55 percent of all shopping visits are to Walmart, CVS, Walgreens, online retailers and food stores.
The decline in heavy buyers is particularly noticeable among women. The percentage of female heavy buyers has gone from 45 percent in 2012 to just 32 percent in 2016, a noticeable drop of 13 percentage points. Despite this drop in heavy buyers, overall purchase incidence among female buyers has increased to an all-time high of 82 percent, driven by more light buyers.
The 2016 VMS study also found that heavy buying among younger consumers (ages 18 to 54) has dropped from 25 percent in 2015 to 21 percent in 2016. However, consumers 55 years and older are twice as likely to be heavy buyers (43 percent).
“The softness we’re seeing in the VMS market compared to previous years is directly linked to the decline in heavy buyers” said Jetta. “This has been isolated to the mass market as specialty and online have held their heavy buyers and picked up volume as a result. The bigger heavy buyer declines are occurring with women and younger buyers between the ages of 18 to 54. Since heavy buyers respond well to category innovation and retailer promotions, these two areas should be a primary focus for manufacturers and retailers going forward.”
About TABS Analytics
Operating since 1998, Shelton, Ct.-based TABS Analytics, formerly TABS Group, based in Shelton, Conn., is a technology-enabled analytics firm. Its mission is to simplify and improve the way analytics are conducted in the consumer products industry.